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An Analytical Review of the Future of Saudi Arabia's Policies in Relation to the Syrian Crisis, with Emphasis on Futures Studies Approach

    Authors

    • Bahador Zarei 1
    • Saeed Ghorbani 2
    • Hamed Hekmatara 3

    1 Assistant Professor of Political Geography, University of Tehran, Iran

    2 M.A. in Regional Studies, SIR of Ministry of Foreign Affairs, Islamic Republic of Iran

    3 Ph.D. Student in Political Geography, University of Tehran,

,

Document Type : Research Paper

10.30479/psiw.2021.15208.2975
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Abstract

Objective: Years after the outbreak of 2011 unrests in Syria and without a clear vision of the future of developments in this country, it will not be possible to plan for managing and ending this crisis. Among many various influential actors at the regional level, Saudi Arabia has had a great importance due to its strong presence since the very first days of the unrests in Syria as well as its relatively large influence on other regional and domestic actors. This article tries to provide a comprehensive analysis of the course of Saudi Arabia's previous actions and approaches in the Syrian crisis and to show future of Saudi policies towards the crisis. The article will then tries to offer most probable scenarios for the future of Saudi Arabian policies based on the principles of future studies.
Method: The present study employs descriptive-analytical method, futures studies approach and scenario-making method to study and examine the issue. Taking advantages of these approaches and methods, the article scrutinizes Saudi policies in Syrian crisis as well as reasons and objectives behind each of which.
Findings: Saudi Arabia's policies towards the Syrian crisis have been identified as a crucial factor in continuation of this crisis in the past, present and future.
Conclusion: Taking all factors and effective deterrents into account, this article introduces continuation of the current offensive policy pursued by a kind of network deterrence as the most probable scenario for the future of Saudi policies in the Syrian crisis.

Keywords

  • Futures Studies
  • Network Deterrence
  • Saudi Arabia
  • Scenario Making
  • Syria
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References
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Political studies of Islamic world
Volume 10, Issue 3 - Serial Number 39
December 2021
Pages 1-29
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How to cite
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  • Article View: 771
  • PDF Download: 635

APA

Zarei, B. , Ghorbani, S. and Hekmatara, H. (2021). An Analytical Review of the Future of Saudi Arabia's Policies in Relation to the Syrian Crisis, with Emphasis on Futures Studies Approach. Political studies of Islamic world, 10(3), 1-29. doi: 10.30479/psiw.2021.15208.2975

MLA

Zarei, B. , , Ghorbani, S. , and Hekmatara, H. . "An Analytical Review of the Future of Saudi Arabia's Policies in Relation to the Syrian Crisis, with Emphasis on Futures Studies Approach", Political studies of Islamic world, 10, 3, 2021, 1-29. doi: 10.30479/psiw.2021.15208.2975

HARVARD

Zarei, B., Ghorbani, S., Hekmatara, H. (2021). 'An Analytical Review of the Future of Saudi Arabia's Policies in Relation to the Syrian Crisis, with Emphasis on Futures Studies Approach', Political studies of Islamic world, 10(3), pp. 1-29. doi: 10.30479/psiw.2021.15208.2975

CHICAGO

B. Zarei , S. Ghorbani and H. Hekmatara, "An Analytical Review of the Future of Saudi Arabia's Policies in Relation to the Syrian Crisis, with Emphasis on Futures Studies Approach," Political studies of Islamic world, 10 3 (2021): 1-29, doi: 10.30479/psiw.2021.15208.2975

VANCOUVER

Zarei, B., Ghorbani, S., Hekmatara, H. An Analytical Review of the Future of Saudi Arabia's Policies in Relation to the Syrian Crisis, with Emphasis on Futures Studies Approach. Political studies of Islamic world, 2021; 10(3): 1-29. doi: 10.30479/psiw.2021.15208.2975

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